Building forecasting infrastructure to predict the future of AI.
Forecasting the future of AI
The field of AI is too complex to be accurately forecast by a few experts. To create useful predictions, we need to create systems and structures for internet scale collaboration.
Top forecasters can outperform domain experts in predicting events in their fields. We're creating a community of expert forecasters to support analysis and decision making in the field of AI development.
Markets are the best mechanism for eliciting accurate predictions about future events. We want to leverage this social technology by creating novel markets on science and technology events.
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